Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from basin hurricane numbers: basic statistical analysis
نویسنده
چکیده
One possible method for predicting landfalling hurricane numbers is to first predict the number of hurricanes in the basin and then convert that prediction to a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers using an estimated proportion. Should this work better than just predicting landfalling hurricane numbers directly? We perform a basic statistical analysis of this question in the context of a simple abstract model.
منابع مشابه
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